Estimarea economică a deciziilor în condițile de risc în activitatea intreprinderilor agricole

Abstract

Among the methods known in the science of management decision-making, decision tree occupies a leading position. This is a method of analyzing the potential outcomes of complex decisions, used in strategic decision making within firms. Using this method, the manager is able to design a chart as a number of future events that may affect a decision, determining a set of values on the outcome of each decision considered. The decision tree can be used for complex strategic decisionmaking situations, in the company, following a series of decisions, probability and size of each of them caused by the decision taken in the previous phase. Each decision depends on the result of a random event, but which can not be determined at the time of acceptance, but whose probability can be anticipated following inquiries.