Demographic resilience in times of catastrophe: what the global community can learn from the Ukrainian experience

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INCE, ASEM

Abstract

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has caused one of Europe’s largest demographic shocks since World War II. Over 5.6 million Ukrainians live abroad as refugees, and more than 3.3 million are internally displaced (UNHCR, IOM, 2025). The population has dropped by almost 25%, threatening human capital, labor markets, and longterm sustainability. This study analyzes Ukraine’s demographic resilience under war, focusing on demographic losses, adaptive policies, and recovery scenarios to 2050. Despite severe declines, Ukraine shows resilience through community support, innovative health and social measures, and gradual adoption of European family and migration policies, offering lessons for global crises.

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Text: lb. engl. Abstrac: lb. engl. Referinţe bibliografice: p. 30 (4 tit.). UDC: 314.1(477). JEL Classification: J11; J13; J18; I18; O15; F22.

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SHUSHPANOV, Dmytro, TVERDOHLIB, Andrii. Demographic resilience in times of catastrophe: what the global community can learn from the Ukrainian experience. In: Economic Growth in the Face of Global Challenges. Strategies for Sustainable Growth, Demographic Resilience, and Social Equity: Conference proceedings: International Scientific-Practical Conference, XIXth edition, October 9-10, 2025, Chisinau. Chisinau: SEP ASEM, 2025, vol. 3: Building demographic resilience: strategies for sustainable population development, pp. 28-30. ISBN 978-9975-168-63-2. https://doi.org/10.36004/nier.cdr.19.2025.06

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