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Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://rses.ince.md/handle/123456789/25

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Author: search.filters.author.Petrova, TatianaSubject: search.filters.subject.Republica Moldova

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    Макроэкономические риски финансовой стабильности Республики Молдова
    (INCE, 2016) Petrova, Tatiana
    Riscurile macroeconomice in Republica Moldova se menţin la un nivel inalt. Condiţiile externe combinate cu factorii interni inteţesc instabilitatea financiară a Republicii Moldova. In Republica Moldova, reforma sistemului de gestiune a riscurilor macroeconomice presupune utilizarea unor metode moderne de evaluare a riscului, analiza riscului și punerea in aplicare a sistemului de avertizare timpurie a crizelor (SAT). Metodele cele mai răspandite de evaluare a riscului stabilității financiare la nivel național sunt ratingurile şi indicii. S-au calculat indicatori de vulnerabilitate relativi ai țărilor cu economii in tranziție; şi indicatorii SAT semnalează cel mai frecvent și veridic posibilitatea de apariție a unei situații de criză. S-au determinat obiectivele de gestiune a riscurilor macroeconomice, ca parte a unui mecanism care asigură stabilitatea financiară in contextul rolului de management și de supraveghere al statului.
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    Определение внешних и внутренних угроз финансовой безопасности Республики Молдова
    (IEFS, 2013) Petrova, Tatiana; Perciun, Rodica
    In present article there are examined the criteria of classification of financial security threats. Also, there are given characteristics of the causes and consequences of the threats. The author made conclusions about the possible and probable events that preceded the banking crisis, also there were identified external and internal threats of the financial security of the Republic of Moldova and the macroeconomic indicators, as precursors of financial instability. The author considers that foreign economic risks and unstable economic growth characterize the high probability of appearance of a crisis situation in the Republic of Moldova.
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    Assessment of illegal capital flows in the Republic of Moldova
    (INCE, 2017) Petrova, Tatiana; Iordachi, Victoria; Clichici, Dorina
    This paper analyses the existent methodologies used in international practice to estimate illegal capital outflows. Also, authors carried out an assessment of the illegal capital outflows in the Republic of Moldova on the basis of two models: the general method based on the balance of payments and the World Bank’s "residual" model. The paper reflects the exceptional situation of the financial system of the Republic of Moldova and trends in evolution of capital flows. The analysis of illegal flows should be part of the monitoring system of the country’s financial stability, which will allow identifying in time negative trends that threaten Moldova's financial security. The main research methods were systemic analysis and logic synthesis; data analysis and interpretation; statistical methods, etc. The main conclusions obtained within the research of this topic are: for more reliable estimates for analytical purposes, it is necessary to develop an adequate methodological base that would help to measure and analyze shadow cross-border flows; for the assessment of the financial security of the Republic of Moldova, as a transition economy, it is important to monitor, analyze and forecast a broader list of financial indicators, as well as their critical values.