Analiza sensibilităţii ca metodă de cuantificare a gradului de incertitudine
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Date
2013
Authors
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Complexul Editorial, INCE
Abstract
In acest articol autorul pune in dezbatere incertitudinea oricarui proiect investitional sau a unei politici guvernamentale. Avand in vedere aceasta situatie, este necesar ca, in prealabil, de efectuat o analiza minutioasa a
proiectelor propuse pentru implementare si din mai multe variante de ales acel proiect, care este mai avantajos. Acesta este un principiu general. Stiinta financiara pune la dispozitia cercetatorilor un set de instrumente cu ajutorul carora s-ar putea identifica proiectul cel mai avantajos. Autorul si-a propus sa analizeze trei proiecte, care au aceleasi caracteristici, aplicand asupra lor diverse metode de analiza financiara, cum ar fi: valoarea actualizata neta (VAN), rata de actualizare (RAS), termenul de recuperare (TR), venitul suplimentar (VS) si rentabilitatea realizata (RR). Toate aceste instrumente de analiza financiara sunt in cadrul analizei cost beneficiu (ACB) si au ca obiectiv eficientizarea banilor (publici) investiti prin obtinerea rezultatelor performante.
In this article the author relates about the uncertainty of any proposed investment or government policies. Taking in account this situation, it is necessary to do an analysis of proposed projects for implementation and from multiple choices to choose the project that is most advantageous. This is a general principle. The financial science provides to the researchers a set of tools with what we can identify the best project. The author aims to examine three projects that have the same features, applying them to various methods of financial analysis, such as net present value (NPV), the discount rate (SAR), recovery time (TR), additional income (VS) and return on invested (RR). All these tools of financial analysis are in the cost-benefit analysis (CBA) and have the aim to streamline the public money that are invested to achieve successful performance.
In this article the author relates about the uncertainty of any proposed investment or government policies. Taking in account this situation, it is necessary to do an analysis of proposed projects for implementation and from multiple choices to choose the project that is most advantageous. This is a general principle. The financial science provides to the researchers a set of tools with what we can identify the best project. The author aims to examine three projects that have the same features, applying them to various methods of financial analysis, such as net present value (NPV), the discount rate (SAR), recovery time (TR), additional income (VS) and return on invested (RR). All these tools of financial analysis are in the cost-benefit analysis (CBA) and have the aim to streamline the public money that are invested to achieve successful performance.
Description
Abstract în lb. rom., engl. Bibliogr.: p. 21(5 titl.). Text paral.: lb. rom., engl.
Keywords
analiza financiara, proiect investitional, analiza proiectului, proiect, sensibilitate, incertitudine, valoare anticipata, analiza cost-beneficiu, valoarea actualizata neta, rata de actualizare, rentabilitatea realizata, financial analysis, investment project, project analysis, project, sensitivity, expected value, cost-benefit analysis, net present value, discount rate, recovery time, achieved profitability
Citation
MANOLE, Tatiana. Analiza sensibilităţii ca metodă de cuantificare a gradului de incertitudine = The sensitivity analysis as a method of quantifying the degree of uncertainty. În: Economie şi Sociologie. 2013, nr. 1, pp. 15-21. Abstract în lb. rom., engl. Bibliogr.: p. 21(5 titl.). Text paral.: lb. rom., engl. ISSN 1857-4130.