Analize și prognoze economice

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Author: search.filters.author.Parmacli, Dmitrii

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    О циклическом характере производства продукции растениеводства
    (INCE, 2014) Parmacli, Dmitrii; Dudoglo, Tatiana; Todorici, Liudmila; Ianioglo, Alina
    The article demonstrates the influence of climatic conditions on the results of the plant crop production in the Republic of Moldova and presents the dynamics of the cereal crop yields in the country in 1995-2012 which reflects low stability of cultivated crop productivity. The work presents a yield analysis for major types of crops - wheat, corn, sunflower - in the period of 1960-2012 and, based on the average annual metrics identifies the four phases of the economic cycle: recovery, prosperity, recession, and depression. Finally, the article provides a forecast of crop yield dynamics for the forthcoming years.
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    Land productivity in agriculture in the Republic of Moldova: regional aspect
    (2019) Ianioglo, Alina; Parmacli, Dmitrii
    The article reveals the importance of land for the agricultural sector, as well as the state of weather and climatic conditions and their influence on the cultivation of agricultural crops. At the same time, it is reasonably emphasized that natural factors represent key factors affecting the economic viability of enterprises. The agricultural sector is more dependent on the climatic conditions than other industries and has a pronounced seasonal nature. It is noted that a significant part of the country’s territory is located in the zone of unsustainable farming. The stability of crop yields is decreasing from north to south of the country. That is why the southern zone of the country, including ATU Gagauzia, is located in the epicenter of unsustainable agriculture. This is evidenced by the indicators of yields of cultivated crops in various regions of the country. There are presented the yields of grain crops, sunflower and fruits in the whole country and in the regions for 2009-2017. Comparative yields of grain crops and fruits on average in the southern zone of the republic and ATU Gagauzia, located in the epicenter of high-risk farming, are also given. The material is presented in tables and graphs. There was conducted an analysis of the instability of the yield of these crops for the analysed period.
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    Instability of production of agricultural products: Assessment and analysis features
    (Matica srpska, 2018) Parmacli, Dmitrii; Ianioglo, Alina
    The article highlights the presence of unfavourable climatic conditions in the agricultural production of the Republic of Moldova, which adversely affect the results of crop cultivation and the economic sustainability of enterprises. As a rule, the variation indicators are not taken into account and evaluated when calculating the efficiency of crops production and sales, and accordingly, the potential values of land use efficiency in the industry are not correctly predicted. In this regard, the aim of the study is to develop methodo-logical approaches to assess the stability of production and to justify some fea-tures of calculating potential indicators of production and sales of crops. The article shows the dynamics of yield of leading crops over the past 16 years and estimates the instability of production. For this purpose formulas are proposed, with the help of which the level of sustainability of enterprises can be predicted. The suggested interrelationships are vividly presented on graphs. The proposed approaches will allow specialists of enterprises to calculate the financial safety margin and the risk zone for each crop, to predict economic development using, above all, the moving average indicators.
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    Показатели операционной деятельности в контексте обеспечения экономической безопасности предприятия
    (Complexul Editorial al INCE, 2017) Ianioglo, Alina; Parmacli, Dmitrii
    В процессе обеспечения экономической безопасности предприятия, особое внимание должно быть уделено экономической безопасности производственной составляющей. В статье раскрывается значение показателей операционной деятельности: запаса финансовой прочности и операционного левериджа. Выделены четыре уровня экономической безопасности: критический, низкий, средний и высокий. Определены и представлены соответствующие формулы их определения. Рассчитаны значения анализируемых показателей и выявлен уровень рискованности производства и экономической безопасности на примере сельскохозяйственного предприятия АТО Гагаузия. В статье представлены расчеты оптимального уровня запаса финансовой прочности и операционного левериджа необходимые для реализации простого и расширенного производства в условиях южного региона Республики Молдова. Предложенный метод может быть применен на практике для контроля производственного процесса, структуры затрат и повышения эффективности и экономической безопасности предприятия в целом.