Cercetări financiare și monetare

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    Финансовая безопасность Республики Молдова
    (Lambert Academic Publishing, 2014) Perciun, Rodica; Petrova, Tatiana
    В представленной монографии определены цели и механизм создания и функционирования системы финансовой безопасности Республики Молдова. Система финансовой безопасности Республики Молдова на данном этапе должна решать задачу выявления угроз безопасности исходя из конкретных интересов переходного периода и задач реформирования экономики в соответствии со стратегическим курсом евроинтеграции. Методологической основой для определения механизма системы финансовой безопасности стали рекомендации международных финансовых организаций и исследования ученых и практиков. Мониторинг финансовой стабильности по предложенным показателям позволяет следить за текущими тенденциями развития экономики Республики Молдова и является профилактической мерой предупреждения кризисных ситуаций в перспективе. Сформулированные в исследовании выводы могут быть использованы в научной деятельности, в практической деятельности банков, в деятельности государственных органов управления, в учебном процессе учреждений высшего профессионального образования экономического профиля.
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    Макроэкономические риски финансовой стабильности Республики Молдова
    (INCE, 2016) Petrova, Tatiana
    Riscurile macroeconomice in Republica Moldova se menţin la un nivel inalt. Condiţiile externe combinate cu factorii interni inteţesc instabilitatea financiară a Republicii Moldova. In Republica Moldova, reforma sistemului de gestiune a riscurilor macroeconomice presupune utilizarea unor metode moderne de evaluare a riscului, analiza riscului și punerea in aplicare a sistemului de avertizare timpurie a crizelor (SAT). Metodele cele mai răspandite de evaluare a riscului stabilității financiare la nivel național sunt ratingurile şi indicii. S-au calculat indicatori de vulnerabilitate relativi ai țărilor cu economii in tranziție; şi indicatorii SAT semnalează cel mai frecvent și veridic posibilitatea de apariție a unei situații de criză. S-au determinat obiectivele de gestiune a riscurilor macroeconomice, ca parte a unui mecanism care asigură stabilitatea financiară in contextul rolului de management și de supraveghere al statului.
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    Взаимодействие сбережений и инвестиций в экономике Республики Молдова
    (Complexul Editorial al INCE, 2017) Petrova, Tatiana
    The equilibrium between savings and investment can ensure the stability of the financial market. The scope of this work paper the analysis of the dynamics of the "savings-investment" balance in the Republic of Moldova and its impact on economic growth. The role and possibilities of attracting foreign investments into fixed assets are shown. The indicator of investment growth with a low level of gross savings is a signal or precursor of a decline in economic growth. According to the National Bank of Moldova (BNM), the civilized export of capital from the Republic of Moldova represents only a small part in the process of export of capital, while the bulk of the exported capital falls to illegal outflows, having a negative impact on various spheres of the economy of the Republic of Moldova. The leading role in the mechanism of savings’ transformation into investment should belong to National Bank of Moldova.
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    Assessment of illegal capital flows in the Republic of Moldova
    (INCE, 2017) Petrova, Tatiana; Iordachi, Victoria; Clichici, Dorina
    This paper analyses the existent methodologies used in international practice to estimate illegal capital outflows. Also, authors carried out an assessment of the illegal capital outflows in the Republic of Moldova on the basis of two models: the general method based on the balance of payments and the World Bank’s "residual" model. The paper reflects the exceptional situation of the financial system of the Republic of Moldova and trends in evolution of capital flows. The analysis of illegal flows should be part of the monitoring system of the country’s financial stability, which will allow identifying in time negative trends that threaten Moldova's financial security. The main research methods were systemic analysis and logic synthesis; data analysis and interpretation; statistical methods, etc. The main conclusions obtained within the research of this topic are: for more reliable estimates for analytical purposes, it is necessary to develop an adequate methodological base that would help to measure and analyze shadow cross-border flows; for the assessment of the financial security of the Republic of Moldova, as a transition economy, it is important to monitor, analyze and forecast a broader list of financial indicators, as well as their critical values.