Analize și prognoze economice
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Item Влияние COVID-19 на экономическую деятельность Республики Молдова(2021) Gutium, TatianaПандемия повлияла на экономику Республики Молдова. Во-первых, были парализованы продажи в непосредственно торговых точках, что привело к ускоренному переходу на онлайн-торговлю. В этой конкурентной гонке онлайн-магазины, которые были ориентированы на торговлю через сеть изначально, получили преимущество. В то же время,та же онлайн-торговля не была в состоянии покрыть спрос в связи с приостановкой поставок из-за границы. Туризм пострадал больше всех, так как специфика данной отрасли не предполагает возможности оказания услуг на расстоянии. Рынок труда так же подвергся изменениям. Такие отрасли как туризм и общественное питание больше не нуждались в том же количестве персонала, как и до пандемии, что привело к росту безработицы и негативно сказалось на общем спросе на товары и услуги. Часть компаний смогла перейти в онлайнрежим, что в свою очередь повлияло на рынок аренды недвижимости и спрос на средства для дистанционной коммуникации.Item Факторы конкурентоспособности российской и молдавской экономик (сравнительный анализ).(2019) Gutium, Tatiana; Percinschi, NataliaОбъектом исследования в данной статье являются факторы, влияющие на конкурентоспособность национальной экономики, а основная цель – выявление тех факторов, которые препятствуют росту конкуренто-способности российской и молдавской экономик. В процессе исследования были использованы следующие методы: наблюдение и сбор данных, метод научных абстракций, сравнительный анализ. Исследование показало, что российская экономика более конкурентоспособна, чем молдавская, но все же большая часть факторов, сдерживающих рост российской экономики, идентична тем, что препятствует росту молдавской. В заключение авторы указали, на какие именно факторы правительство должно акцентировать свое внимание при разработке стратегий развития экономики.Item Methodological approach to the elaboration of indicators for quantifying the competitiveness of goods(Complexul Editorial al INCE, 2020) Gutium, TatianaThe period of temporary economic isolation caused by the Covid-19 pandemic has affected the economies of all countries in the world. After quarantine and the gradual restoration of the activity of all economic sectors, competition in the world market will intensify. Countries will promote strategies for economic growth, improving economic security, increasing exports, and protecting domestic producers. Given the fact that resources are limited and exhaustible, it is necessary to correctly identify priority sectors when developing strategies. For this purpose, the competitiveness index can be used, since competitiveness is one of the main characteristics that allows anyone to determine its position on the market, and increasing competitiveness ensures victory in the competition. The novelty and purpose of the study is to develop two new integral indices, and to improve one symmetric index of comparative advantage developedearlier. Some of empirical and theoretical methods were used in this research: abstraction, the method of ascending from the abstract to the concrete, comparison, measurement, analysis and synthesis, economic and mathematical modelling. To identify priority sectors, the author used the developed indices to assess the competitiveness of goods, not only on the foreign market, but also on the domestic market. This study can serve economists as a tool for assessing the competitiveness of goods, identifying thestrengths and weaknesses of the goods offered, in the context of developing measures to increase competitiveness, which will increase the profitability of entrepreneurship.Item Forecasting production of domestic goods and main macroeconomic indicators(INCE, 2018) Ganciucov, Valentina; Gutium, Tatiana; Ceban, AlexandruManaging both the modern state and the enterprises is impossible without forecasting and elaborating several development scenarios that would take into account the available resources and reflect the most likely results. The forecast has become a part of daily life and a fundamental tool for assessing development prospects. Therefore, the task of improving the economic-mathematical model for the development of forecasts is relevant, especially in modern conditions, when the national economy is subject to many factors, both external and internal. The main goal of the research is to forecast the production of domestic goods and the main macroeconomic indicators using the economic-mathematical model adapted by authors to the new conditions for the development of the Moldovan economy, considering that the share of the non-observed economy in 2016 is less than in the previous year, but remains significant. The main methods used in this study: the "input-output" method, econometric methods of research and forecasting, regression analysis, the method of analytical calculation, the method of mathematical modelling of economic processes. Using the adapted model and taking into account the processes established in the national economy, forecast interbranch balances for 2018 were developed in the division of goods, integrated into five branches of national economy, and forecasts of the main macroeconomic indicators for the Republic of Moldova were developedItem Причины снижения конкурентоспособности экономики Молдовы(ИМЭМО РАН, 2017) Percinschi, Natalia; Gutium, TatianaItem Evolution of the Republic of Moldova's Non-Observed Economy(AGEPI, 2017) Ganciucov, Valentina; Ceban, Alexandru; Gutium, TatianaEvolution of the Republic of Moldova‘s Non-Observed Economy. In this article are described the types, elements and methods of assessment of the Non-Observed Economy. In addition, is analyzed the dynamics of informal sector production, hidden production of formal sector and production of households for own final use in the Republic of Moldova. The authors have analyzed the Non-Observed Economy of EU countries and other groups of countries. It is evaluated the level of the shadow economy and calculated losses of the state budget on basis of research and using the inter-branch balance.