Browsing by Author "Toaca, Zinovia"

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Conceptul modelului econometric al economiei naționale a Republicii Moldova
(IEFS, 2011) Toaca, Zinovia
The elaboration of the econometric model is an iterative process that includes several steps. The model that is used to analyze and forecast the main macroeconomic indicators of the economy of the Republic of Moldova is a system of simultaneous equations; there the endogenous factors in some regression of the model can serve as exogenous factors. This leads to failure of basic assumptions of LS estimation method of each regression in part and that leads to inefficient, inconsistent and biased estimators. In the article is presented a general scheme of the macroeconometric model of the national economy and the methods that is used to overcome problems of estimating the model’s regression. The process of research simplifies, if the model is divided into blocks of simultaneous equations and blocks with recursive equations.
The dynamic of some competitiveness indicators: Republic of Moldova versus other states in the region
(INCE, 2018) Toaca, Zinovia; Olarescu, Zaharia
Competitiveness is an essential feature of the contemporary economy. The aim of the paper is to treat the Moldovan economy's ability to be competitive in terms of labor productivity, employee remuneration, unit labor cost. The study is based on the information analysis submitted by the National Bureau of Statistics, such as: gross value added, salary fund, number of employees and working hours on the national economy and branches for years 2000-2016. Statistical information of the countries concerned has been used for comparative analysis. Study reveals that the low labor productivity determines low salaries in national economy. The lowest productivity and the worst labor remuneration are found in agriculture. The unit labor cost, which determines the correlation between labor productivity and wage has a more advanced pace of growth in services, doubting the justification for the increase in wages in some activities that far exceed growth of labor productivity. The evolution of this indicator is relatively satisfactory in industry and agriculture. Moldova continues to occupy one of the last places among the countries in the region in terms of labor productivity and medium monthly salary.
Estimări de model al indicatorilor macroeconomici ai Republicii Moldova pentru perioada 2019-2022
(Centrul Editorial-Poligrafic al ASEM, 2019) Toaca, Zinovia; Olarescu, Zaharia
Evaluation of the current situation of the national economy and elaboration the forecast of the main macroeconomics indicator for the medium term is the purpose of the paper Estimate of the macroeconomic indicators are carried out under an econometric model, which has the exogenous variables internal and external indicators. This allow to develop a forecast, which takes into account the economic influence of the main partners of the Republic of Moldova and decisions leading to the evolution of such internal indicators as a monetary aggregate M2, exchange rate, interest rate credit. The forecast of rates of economic growth are determined by a possible improvement of the investment climate and the business environment in the Republic of Moldova. The relatively large share of the added value of the agricultural sector in GDP makes the economic evolution of the Republic of Moldova dependent on the climatic conditions .
Evaluation of the economic situation of the Republic of Moldova in the regional comparison.
(INCE, 2015) Toaca, Zinovia; Olarescu, Zaharia
The purpose of the research in question is to monitor the evolution of the Moldovan economy at the macroeconomic level during the transition to a market economy and to follow the road of it compared to other emerging countries. Research methodology is to select the top countries published by the UNDP (Human Development Report)and compare the results obtained from countries in transition to a market economy by the indicator of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at purchasing power parity (PPP constant 2011 international $). The results correspond to the purpose of evaluating throughout our country compared to other developing countries in the period 1990-2012, without reference to the causes for which influenced their evolution.
Macromodel estimates of the national economy of the Republic of Moldova for the period 2015-2018
(2015) Toaca, Zinovia; Olarescu, Zaharia; Ghetmanenco, Svetlana
The estimates of the macroeconomic indicators for the period 2015-2018 are carried out under an econometric model, which has exogenous variables: internal and external indicators. This allows developing a forecast, which takes into account the economic influence of the main partners of the Republic of Moldova and the decisions leading to the evolution of such internal indicators as the monetary aggregate M2, exchange rate, and interest rate on credits.
Model trimestrial de prognoză a PIB-ului Republicii Moldova
(INCE, 2019) Toaca, Zinovia; Vintu, Denis
Scopul prezentei lucrări este descrierea unui model de prognoză trimestrială a PIB-ului, categorii de utilizări, în corespundere cu prioritățile de dezvoltare ale Republicii Moldova pe termen mediu. Atingerea scopului propus au impus trasarea unor sarcini, între care: - Abordarea conceptuală a seriilor de timp, cu referire la utilizarea tehnicii ARIMA pentru estimarea seriei cronologice; - Analiza economică a PIB-ului pe categorii de utilizări; - Studierea seriilor de timp prin metoda indicilor a ritmului de creștere a indicatorilor incluși în analiză, structura, grad de influență; - Prognoza PIB-ului pe categoriilor de utilizări și resurse, pentru perioadă 2019-2020. Tehnici de prognozare: - Utilizarea tehnicii ARIMA; - Utilizarea pachetului econometric Eviews pentru estimarea și elaborarea modelului macroeconometric. Abordările științifice și metodologice descrise în prezenta lucrare vor servi în calitate de suport științific în procesul elaborării scenariilor de evoluție economică. Metodele de cercetare folosite de autori include identificarea trendului de dezvoltare economică, analiza diagnostic, prognoză economică fundamentată științific, tehnica ARIMA, analiza regresională a seriilor de timp.
Moldovan Economic Trends no 6 (Q II, 2012)
(Complexul Editorial al IEFS, 2012) Stratan, Alexandru; Chistruga, Marcel; Rojco, Anatolii; Fala, Alexandru; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Clipa, Victoria; Septelici, Viorica; Vragaleva, Veronica; Novac, Alexandra; Lucasenco, Eugenia; Golea, Violeta; Gribincea, Corina; Toaca, Zinovia
The Moldovan Economic Trends is a quarterly publication, produced with the assistance of the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of Institute of Economy, Finance and Statistics and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 12 (Q IV, 2013)
(INCE, 2013) Stratan, Alexandru; Lucasenco, Eugenia; Cara, Oleg; Timofei, Olga; Vragaleva, Veronica; Septelici, Viorica; Clipa, Victoria; Gribincea, Corina; Novac, Alexandra; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Toaca, Zinovia; Olarescu, Zaharia; Gagauz, Olga
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 16 (Q IV, 2014)
(INCE, 2014) Stratan, Alexandru; Lucasenco, Eugenia; Cara, Oleg; Timofei, Olga; Vragaleva, Veronica; Popa, Viorica; Clipa, Victoria; Novac, Alexandra; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Ceban, Alina; Toaca, Zinovia; Olarescu, Zaharia
The „Moldovan Economic Trend” is a quarterly publication produced with the assistance of the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of authors and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 20 (Q IV, 2015)
(Complexul Editorial al INCE, 2015) Stratan, Alexandru; Olarescu, Zaharia; Toaca, Zinovia; Ceban, Alexandru; Ceban, Alina; Timofei, Olga; Popa, Viorica; Fala, Victoria; Iatisin, Tatiana; Novac, Alexandra; Colesnicova, Tatiana
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 24 (Q IV, 2016)
(INCE, 2016) Stratan, Alexandru; Ceban, Alexandru; Olarescu, Zaharia; Timofei, Olga; Cociug, Victoria; Iatisin, Tatiana; Novac, Alexandra; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Toaca, Zinovia
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 9 (Q I, 2013)
(IEFS, 2013) Stratan, Alexandru; Rojco, Anatolii; Fala, Alexandru; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Clipa, Victoria; Popa, Viorica; Vragaleva, Veronica; Novac, Alexandra; Lucasenco, Eugenia; Gribincea, Corina; Toaca, Zinovia; Gherbovet, Sergiu
The Moldovan Economic Trends is a quarterly publication, produced with the assistance of the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of Institute of Economy, Finance and Statistics and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.
Moldovan Economic Trends, no. 30 (Q II, 2018)
(INCE, 2018) Stratan, Alexandru; Ianioglo, Alina; Ceban, Alexandru; Timofei, Olga; Gribincea, Corina; Iatisin, Tatiana; Novac, Alexandra; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Olarescu, Zaharia; Toaca, Zinovia
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 26 (Q II, 2017)
(INCE, 2017) Stratan, Alexandru; Ceban, Alexandru; Olarescu, Zaharia; Timofei, Olga; Cociug, Victoria; Iatisin, Tatiana; Novac, Alexandra; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Toaca, Zinovia
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 10 (Q II, 2013)
(INCE, 2013) Stratan, Alexandru; Rojco, Anatolii; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Clipa, Victoria; Popa, Viorica; Vragaleva, Veronica; Novac, Alexandra; Lucasenco, Eugenia; Gribincea, Corina; Toaca, Zinovia; Gherbovet, Sergiu; Olarescu, Zaharia
The Moldovan Economic Trends is a quarterly publication, produced with the assistance of the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of National Institute for Economic Research and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 14 (Q II, 2014)
(INCE, 2014) Stratan, Alexandru; Lucasenco, Eugenia; Gribincea, Corina; Timofei, Olga; Cara, Oleg; Vragaleva, Veronica; Olarescu, Zaharia; Popa, Viorica; Clipa, Victoria; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Toaca, Zinovia
The „Moldovan Economic Trend” is a quarterly publication produced with the assistance of the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of authors and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 2 (Q II, 2011)
(Complexul Editorial al IEFS, 2011) Stratan, Alexandru; Chistruga, Marcel; Rojco, Anatolii; Aculai, Elena; Fala, Alexandru; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Clipa, Victoria; Septelici, Viorica; Vragaleva, Veronica; Novac, Alexandra; Lucasenco, Eugenia; Toaca, Zinovia; Olarescu, Zaharia; Lorenzo Capussela, Andrea
The Moldovan Economic Trends is a quarterly publication, producedwith the assistance of the European Union. The contents of thispublication are the sole responsibility of Institute of Economy, Financeand Statistics andcan in no way be taken to reflect the views of theEuropean Union.
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 28 (Q IV, 2017)
(INCE, 2017) Stratan, Alexandru; Ianioglo, Alina; Ceban, Alexandru; Olarescu, Zaharia; Timofei, Olga; Cociug, Victoria; Iatisin, Tatiana; Novac, Alexandra; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Toaca, Zinovia
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 7 (Q III, 2012)
(Complexul Editorial al IEFS, 2012) Stratan, Alexandru; Chistruga, Marcel; Rojco, Anatolii; Fala, Alexandru; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Clipa, Victoria; Septelici, Viorica; Vragaleva, Veronica; Novac, Alexandra; Lucasenco, Eugenia; Golea, Violeta; Gribincea, Corina; Toaca, Zinovia
The Moldovan Economic Trends is a quarterly publication, produced with the assistance of the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of Institute of Economy, Finance and Statistics and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.
Moldovan Economic Trends, no 8 (Q IV, 2012)
(IEFS, 2012) Stratan, Alexandru; Rojco, Anatolii; Fala, Alexandru; Colesnicova, Tatiana; Clipa, Victoria; Septelici, Viorica; Vragaleva, Veronica; Novac, Alexandra; Lucasenco, Eugenia; Gribincea, Corina; Toaca, Zinovia; Gherbovet, Sergiu
The Moldovan Economic Trends is a quarterly publication, produced with the assistance of the European Union. The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of Institute of Economy, Finance and Statistics and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.